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We expect a 6950 pip movement on ZC within 48 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect ZC to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 1.7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Jul 12:30
18 Feb 13:30
20 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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