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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards today with a 75% chance.

Based on the last 12 PPI MoM events in United States, we expect a $310 movement on EURUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-14 12:30. We expect EURUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-08-14 12:30 if the released value is > 0.2%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

13 Feb 13:30
12 Dec 13:30
12 Sep 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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