We expect NIY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Non Farm Payrolls news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 110K. A price movement of 1730 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
07 Mar 13:30![]() |
07 Feb 13:30![]() |
06 Sep 12:30![]() |
02 Aug 12:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).