Based on the last 12 Unemployment Rate events in Canada, we expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect EURUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2025-07-11 12:30 if the released value is < 7.1%. A price movement of 63 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
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07 Feb 13:30![]() |
10 Jan 13:30![]() |
08 Nov 13:30![]() |
11 Oct 12:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).