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We expect a 11 pip movement on GBPUSD within 4 hours following the event release.

We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -5. A price movement of 11 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

11 Mar 00:30
10 Dec 00:30
10 Sep 01:30
13 Aug 01:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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