Based on the last 12 Non Farm Payrolls events in United States, we expect AUDUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 71.43% chance of this. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-07-03 12:30 if the released value is > 110K. A price movement of 73 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
06 Jun 12:30 |
04 Apr 12:30 |
10 Jan 13:30 |
06 Dec 13:30 |
04 Oct 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
