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We expect EMD to trend downwards right now.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we may expect EMD to trend downwards right now. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We made this conclusion because the released value is = 1.7%. A price movement of 265 pips may be experienced.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 May 09:00
30 Apr 09:00
29 Nov 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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