Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect ES to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect ES to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-06-24 12:30 if the released value is = 1.7%. A price movement of 83 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
18 Feb 13:30 |
20 Aug 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
