Based on the last 12 BoE Interest Rate Decision events in United Kingdom, we expect ZN to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect ZN to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-06-19 11:00 if the released value is = 4.25%. A price movement of 90 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
08 May 11:02![]() |
20 Mar 12:00![]() |
06 Feb 12:00![]() |
19 Dec 12:00![]() |
19 Sep 11:00![]() |
20 Jun 11:00![]() |
21 Mar 12:00![]() |
01 Feb 12:00![]() |
14 Dec 12:00![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).