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We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on past Japan Balance of Trade news events there is a 80% chance of AUDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < ¥227.1B. A price movement of 64 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Mar 23:50
19 Nov 23:50
20 Aug 23:50
21 May 23:50

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a $321 movement on SM within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-05-20 23:50.

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Because NZDUSD formed a Channel Up pattern, we expect it to touch the resistance line. If it breaks through resistance it may move much higher

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