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There is a 70% chance of USDCAD trending upwards

We expect USDCAD to trend upwards for the next 48 hours. Based on these past Japan Consumer Confidence news events there is a 70% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 34. A price movement of 84 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

29 Jan 05:00
08 Jan 05:00
30 Oct 05:00
02 Oct 05:00
29 Aug 05:00
01 Jul 05:00
29 May 05:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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