Based on the last 12 Durable Goods Orders MoM events in United States, we expect RTY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect RTY to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-24 12:30 if the released value is > 2%. A price movement of 213 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
26 Mar 12:30 |
27 Feb 13:30 |
25 Oct 12:30 |
26 Sep 12:30 |
26 Aug 12:30 |
24 Apr 12:30 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
