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There is a 75% chance of GBPUSD trending upwards

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-04-24 08:00 if the released value is > 85.2. A price movement of 45 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

27 Jan 09:00
25 Oct 08:00
24 Apr 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect GC to trend upwards today with a 71.43% chance.

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GBPCHF experienced a very large 13 days bullish move to 1.096545

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