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We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect a $620 movement on AUDUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-04-16 06:00. We expect AUDUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-04-16 06:00 if the released value is > 2.7%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

20 Nov 07:00
17 Jul 06:00
22 May 06:00
17 Apr 06:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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