Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in Canada, we expect RTY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 66.67% chance of this. We expect RTY to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-18 12:30 if the released value is > 2.1%. A price movement of 78 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
25 Jun 12:30![]() |
16 Apr 12:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).