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We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Balance of Trade events in Canada, we expect GBPUSD to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect GBPUSD to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-03-06 13:30 if the released value is > C$1.3B. A price movement of 32 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

06 Aug 12:30
06 Jun 12:30
04 Apr 12:30
07 Mar 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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