Based on the last 12 Deposit Facilty Rate events in Euro Area, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 2.5%
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
30 Jan 13:15![]() |
12 Dec 13:15![]() |
17 Oct 12:15![]() |
18 Jul 12:15![]() |
11 Apr 12:15![]() |
07 Mar 13:15![]() |
14 Dec 13:15![]() |
26 Oct 12:15![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).