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We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards today with a 81.82% chance.

Based on the last 12 Deposit Facilty Rate events in Euro Area, we expect a $140 movement on NZDUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-06 13:15. We expect NZDUSD to trend upwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-03-06 13:15 if the released value is = 2.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

30 Jan 13:15
12 Dec 13:15
12 Sep 12:15
06 Jun 12:15
11 Apr 12:15
07 Mar 13:15
25 Jan 13:15
14 Dec 13:15
26 Oct 12:15

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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