Based on past Italy Inflation Rate YoY Prel news events there is a 66.67% chance of ES trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is > 1.7%. A price movement of 27 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
03 Feb 10:00![]() |
31 Jul 08:30![]() |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).