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We expect a 57 pip movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Italy, we expect USDJPY to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 75% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is < 1.7% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

07 Jan 10:00
31 Oct 10:00
30 Sep 09:00
30 Aug 09:00
30 Apr 09:00
01 Mar 10:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect YM to trend downwards for the next 48 hours.

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We expect ES to trend upwards today with a 66.67% chance.

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