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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards today with a 83.33% chance.

Based on the last 12 Ifo Business Climate events in Germany, we expect a $256 movement on USDCHF within 4 hours following the event release at 2025-02-24 09:00. We expect USDCHF to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2025-02-24 09:00 if the released value is < 85.8 Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

17 Dec 09:00
25 Nov 09:00
25 Jul 08:00
24 Jun 08:00
27 May 08:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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