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There is a 80% chance of GBPUSD trending downwards

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate MoM events in United States, we expect a 125 pip movement on GBPUSD within 48 hours following the event release at 2025-02-12 13:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 48 hours following the event release at 2025-02-12 13:30 if the released value is > 0.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

15 Jan 13:30
10 Oct 12:30
10 Apr 12:30
13 Feb 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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