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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY events in United Kingdom, we expect a $380 movement on GBPUSD within 2 hours following the event release at 2025-01-15 07:00. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 2 hours following the event release at 2025-01-15 07:00 if the released value is < 2.6% Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

16 Oct 06:00
14 Aug 06:00
20 Mar 07:00
14 Feb 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect a 275 pip movement on LE within 12 hours following the event release.

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