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We expect a 53 pip movement on USDJPY within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on the last 12 Retail Sales MoM events in United Kingdom, we expect USDJPY to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect USDJPY to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2024-12-20 07:00 if the released value is < 0.5%. A price movement of 53 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

22 Nov 07:00
19 Jul 06:00
24 May 06:00
19 Jan 07:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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