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We expect YM to trend upwards today with a 83.33% chance.

Based on past Australia NAB Business Confidence news events there is a 83.33% chance of YM trending upwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 4. A price movement of 124 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

08 Oct 00:30
10 Sep 01:30
13 Aug 01:30
13 May 01:30
12 Dec 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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