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We expect EMD to trend upwards with a 66.67% chance.

Based on the last 12 ISM Manufacturing PMI events in United States, we could see a 201 pip movement on EMD for the next 4 hours. EMD could trend upwards for 4 hours because the released value is > 47.5

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

01 Feb 15:00
03 Jan 15:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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