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We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards today with a 83.33% chance.

Based on the last 12 Personal Income MoM events in United States, we expect a $830 movement on GBPUSD within 12 hours following the event release at 2024-11-27 13:30. We expect GBPUSD to trend downwards 12 hours following the event release at 2024-11-27 13:30 if the released value is = 0.3%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 Oct 12:30
26 Apr 12:30
26 Jan 13:30
22 Dec 13:30
30 Nov 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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