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We expect YM to trend downwards today with a 83.33% chance.

Based on the last 12 NAB Business Confidence events in Australia, we expect YM to trend downwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 83.33% chance of this. We expect YM to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2024-01-23 00:30 if the released value is > -7. A price movement of 900 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

10 Oct 00:30
08 Aug 01:30
11 Jul 01:30
11 Apr 01:30
14 Feb 00:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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