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We expect UB to trend upwards today with a 72.73% chance.

Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect UB to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. This may happen if the released value is = 5.5%

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

14 Jun 18:00
03 May 18:00
22 Mar 18:00
01 Feb 19:00
14 Dec 19:00
21 Sep 18:00
04 May 18:00
16 Mar 18:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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We expect USDCHF to trend downwards today with a 72.73% chance.

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