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We expect a 60 pip movement on NZDUSD within 4 hours following the event release.

Based on past United States Retail Sales MoM news events there is a 85.71% chance of NZDUSD trending downwards. We expect this to happen if the released value is < -0.3%. A price movement of 60 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 Jan 13:30
15 Dec 13:30
14 Oct 12:30
17 Aug 12:30
15 Jun 12:30
14 Apr 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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