Based on the last 12 Claimant Count Change events in United Kingdom, we expect a $3696750 movement on NIY within 4 hours following the event release at 2022-12-13 07:00. We expect NIY to trend downwards 4 hours following the event release at 2022-12-13 07:00 if the released value is > 3.5K
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
11 Oct 06:00 |
13 Sep 06:00 |
14 Jun 06:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).