Based on the last 12 Fed Interest Rate Decision events in United States, we expect ES to trend upwards later today. Based on these past events there is a 72.73% chance of this. We expect ES to trend upwards 4 hours following the event release at 2022-09-21 18:00 if the released value is = 3.25%. A price movement of 9587 pips is expected.
Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion
27 Jul 18:00 |
04 May 18:00 |
16 Mar 18:00 |
15 Dec 19:00 |
03 Nov 18:00 |
28 Jul 18:00 |
28 Apr 18:00 |
17 Mar 18:00 |
All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).
