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We expect EURUSD to trend upwards with a 87.5% chance.

Based on past Germany Inflation Rate YoY Prel news events there is a 87.5% chance of EURUSD trending upwards. We expect this to happen because the released value is > 7.8%. A price movement of 76 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

28 Jul 12:00
30 May 12:00
28 Apr 12:00
30 Mar 12:00
31 Jan 13:00
29 Nov 13:00
28 Oct 12:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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