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There is a 85.71% chance of CL trending downwards

We expect CL to trend downwards for the next 4 hours. Based on these past United States Housing Starts news events there is a 85.71% chance of this. We expect this to happen because the released value is < 1.54M. A price movement of 318 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

18 May 12:30
17 Feb 13:30
17 Nov 13:30
18 Aug 12:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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