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We expect EURUSD to trend downwards today with a 80% chance.

We expect EURUSD to trend downwards later today. Based on these past United States Continuing Jobless Claims news events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect this to happen if the released value is < 1350K. A price movement of 38 pips is expected. Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

24 Mar 12:30
24 Feb 13:30
17 Feb 13:30
13 Jan 13:30

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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