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We expect NQ to trend upwards with a 80% chance.

Based on the last 12 Inflation Rate YoY Prel events in Germany, we expect NQ to trend upwards. Based on these past events there is a 80% chance of this. We expect NQ to trend upwards for 2 hours because the released value is > 3.3%. A price movement of 18,850 pips is expected.

Historical events that allowed us to draw this conclusion

31 May 12:00
01 Mar 13:00
28 Jan 13:00
29 Oct 13:00

All references to movement sizes are expressed assuming a lot size of 100,000 units (“standard account”).

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